Margin of error
A 22 year old 2/3 with no demonstrated handle, passing skills, and without out of this world measurables with the 14th pick is a mistake. Simply it is an organizational mistake. Definitionally anyone who becomes a superstar after the top 10 has been overlooked, they were missing some piece or had some red flag or grew 3 inches after being drafted. This leads some commenters to make absurd claims like 'its unpredictable' or 'anyone can become that star'. Hard to predict, and unpredictable are different things, hard to select, and hard to select against are different things. Selecting against: If you can't pick the guy out who will become the next Giannis, Kawhi, Butler or Jokic you can still improve your odds dramatically by dropping players who won't become those guys. 'We aren't drafting for superstars'- then you have made an organizational mistake. A functional value proposition failure that you need to correct. How many late lotte...